Quote Originally Posted by UTEopia View Post
i heard Bill Riley say that the earlier over/under for the Utes out of Vegas is 6.5. That is a tough number to accept, but when you look at it, it is a tough decision. 6 or fewer wins or 7 or more wins. I am one who hates to get my expectations ahead of performance and with so many unknowns on the offensive side of the ball and some big losses to replace on the defensive side, I could easily see the Utes win 6 or fewer games. I'm going to say they win 7. We will win the two games we are supposed to win, lose the 3 we are decided underdogs in and take 5 of 7 of the others.

North Dakota - Win (100%)
@ BYU - Win (60%)
SJSU - Win (100%)
@ Ariz. Win (60%)
BYE
Stanford - Loss. (30% chance at win)
@ USC - Loss (10% chance of win)
ASU - Win (70%)
@ Oregon - Loss (45% chance of win, but we don't)
UCLA - Win (55%)
WSU - Win (55%)
@UW - Loss (10% chance of win)
CU - Win. (55%)
We've got the right end of the 5-4 split in league games, we get Stanford at home after a bye and we never play back-to-back road games. If Taylor is the QB Whisperer for our senior QB, we'll win 'em all save for USC and UW.

Also, take note that the payoff on that season win total is not an even money bet. Per the odds listed, even Vegas thinks we're more likely to go over 6.5 wins than under 6.5 wins.