There are 8 teams within a game of each other.
Someone out of USC, UCLA, Utah, Oregon, Stanford, CU, ASU, and UW will finish 2nd, and someone will finish 9th. One bad call, one poor decision, one turnover, one lucky banked in three pointer could win or cost your team a number of seeds in the tournament.
Pac12 TEAM Road Home (14-4) Arizona (6-3) (8-1) (12-6) Arizona State (5-4) (7-2) (12-6) Washington (4-5) (8-1) (11-7) Utah (4-5) (7-2) (11-7) USC (3-6) (8-1) (10-8) Stanford (3-6) (7-2) (10-8) UCLA (2-7) (8-1) (10-8) Colorado (2-7) (8-1) (8-10) Oregon (3-6) (5-4) (5-13) Oregon State (0-9) (5-4) (3-15) California (1-8) (2-7) (2-16) Washington State (0-9) (2-7)
THIS WEEK Arizona State 86 Arizona 81 Washington 78 Utah 72 USC 83 Oregon 75 Colorado 75 Washington State 72 UCLA 84 Oregon State 73 Washington 78 Colorado 70 Utah 77 Washington State 71 UCLA 85 Oregon 77 USC 83 Oregon State 71 Stanford 74 California 70 NEXT WEEK Colorado 77 USC 75 Arizona 81 Oregon State 75 Stanford 76 Washington 74 Utah 80 UCLA 77 California 74 Washington State 69 Arizona State 83 Oregon 81 Utah 78 USC 75 Washington 76 California 69 Stanford 81 Washington State 68 Arizona State 82 Oregon State 77 Arizona 81 Oregon 79 Colorado 78 UCLA 77 FINAL WEEK Arizona State 87 California 68 Oregon 78 Washington State 75 Arizona 84 Stanford 73 Washington 81 Oregon State 69 Arizona State 85 Stanford 74 Arizona 85 California 66 Washington 81 Oregon 73 Washington State 74 Oregon State 74 Utah 77 Colorado 70 USC 83 UCLA 78
Last edited by The Thrill; 02-11-2018 at 09:09 PM.
So who wins the tiebreaker for 4th in Vegas, assuming Utah gets to this mark by splitting its games with USC?Originally Posted by The Thrill
Bracketology has five Pac-12 teams in, although the SoCal schools are relegated to play-in games, and UW is one of the last four with byes.
Utah in the Next Four out.
I suspect if Utah gets in, it's at the expense of another Pac-12 team. The good news is we play all three of the aforementioned teams before season's end. In fact, I'll say right now a Utah-UCLA matchup in Vegas is an elimination game for the NCAAs (provided we beat UCLA in SLC). And being among the last four in is a precipitous place to be in. I'll say the league gets four bids.
I just don't have the same optimism that the rest of y'all seem to have. We have 4/5 remaining games against teams that are even with us. We need to win 4/5 of those.
If USC, UCLA, UW, and CU are a coin toss, and WSU is 80%, we have (.5)(.5)(.5)(.5)(.8) = 5% chance of winning out.
We've been good on the road twice (ASU and Oregon), and we've been awful three times (USC, UCLA, and CU). I'm not sure how UW has been good this season. On paper, they're not much. That's a winnable game in Seattle, but it's also a game we could lose by 20.
UCLA and USC beat us so badly in SoCal that I have a hard time thinking we will beat them both in SLC. I know the shots seems to fall for us in SLC, but it's hard for me to get over those blowouts. Plus, they both have outside shooting big men, which is tough for us to handle.
Anyway, the hope is alive! There is a path to the dance.
ESPN's "matchup predictor" gives us a 48.7% chance in Seattle.
78.2% @ WSU
61.3% vs UCLA
57.2% vs USC
81.2% vs CU
So ESPN gives us a 10% chance of winning out. That's not bad!
Justin Bibbins is:
18th in the Pac-12 in ppg
4th in apg
6th in FT%
2nd in 3FG per game
1st in 3FG%
3rd in assist to turnover ratio
10th in mpg
Which all-conference team does he belong on?
I think there are 6 locks for 1st team: Ayton, Holiday, Trier, Holder, Travis, and Tinkle.
After that, you have other guards: Bibbins, Evans, Thompson, Wright. Other bigs: Welsh, Dickerson, Metu, Boatwright.
That's 8 possibilities for 4 open spots. I think Bibbins is on the cusp.
I watched the CBS projection that took the top 16 teams and Jerry Palm expanded on that. He had ASU in as a 10 seed. I don't think they are on very solid ground though at the moment. Now, a win over Arizona this week probably puts them in, but just looking at their schedule, they still have games they could drop down the stretch here. I don't see them getting to the 12-6 mark as noted above.
“It only ends once. Anything that happens before that is just progress.”
Well, because he thought it was good sport. Because some men aren't looking for anything logical, like money. They can't be bought, bullied, reasoned, or negotiated with. Some men just want to watch the world burn.
After head to head, I think it goes record vs. the top team(s) in the league until someone gets the advantage, so in the event that we split with USC, and the standings are what they are, I think we'd take the tiebreaker by virtue of the win over ASU.
“It only ends once. Anything that happens before that is just progress.”
Well, because he thought it was good sport. Because some men aren't looking for anything logical, like money. They can't be bought, bullied, reasoned, or negotiated with. Some men just want to watch the world burn.
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